In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“I've done these before and they are a handy way to see what the votes mean. Basically, once counties clear a certain number of votes in, this take them and compares them to 2017 results, with 4.5% taken off the 2017 results (since Northam won by 9). 1/”“@BenjySarlin @_Jon_Green @EsotericCD Don't want to belabor the point, but I do keep coming back to: This looks waaaaaay different from exurban OH than NYC. Out here we aren't using our excess hospital capacity, we're testing entire prison populations, our statewide death total is about 3% of NYC daily, etc. 1/”“I don't know that there is much more that we realistically could have done in Afghanistan, but it's just really sad to watch this if you're old enough to remember ink-stained fingers, Karzai in his cool hat, and the general air of hopefulness that once prevailed there.”Log in. Sign upSean T at RCP is a free elf. @SeanTrende. It described it as being 100% in, but in fact, those precincts are partially reporting. There are eight counties still at least …Dr. Sean T at RCP, Ph.D.'s Threads - Thread Reader App. Aug 9 • 14 tweets • 3 min read. Save as PDF. Today is my son Judson's 16th Birthday.In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“But Kaine and Warner are pretty young, so his political career is already done. His private sector prospects are . . . limited right now. This probably isn't an impeachable offense. 100% apart from doing the right thing, why do we think he leaves? 2/2”“I've gotten a few questions about the "split decision" narrative, and whether it should change if Ds pull out wins in FL-Sen and AZ-Sen (good chance in both!). This gets to one of my biggest pet peeves about elections analysis and sports analysis. 1/”Nov 5, 2018 · Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart. May 31, 2022 · “We're reaching the end of the second quarter, which is when election outcomes are more-or-less baked in. At this point, you really have to have Republicans as overwhelming favorites to take the House with solid margins, and strong favorites to take the Senate.” “@Nate_Cohn Yeah, part of the problem is the modern right's disdain for academia/anti-Intellectual-ism, combined with the fact that the CRT stuff has a fair amount of overlap with traditional racial liberalism stuff. So it's easy to lump them together.”“OK, let's settle this: Worst Star Wars main storyline movie. I'll give my take at the end, but I do think a case can be made for any of these.”“@AdamAwalsh @JayCostTWS That and the collective action problem of ppl staying in to try to get the 1-on-1 with Trump.”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersIn this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users... Twitter auto refresh google chrome, French dialect crossword clue, Debit and credit card reader for iphone, As soon as practicable legal definition, Tender ...“@brianros1 @BenjySarlin @_Jon_Green @EsotericCD Yes. Republicans are not going to be very eager to do that. Maybe Ohio State because the state is so nostalgic about it, but I suspect Oberlin is going to be …“It just drives me nuts when people say "the lesson of the Great Recession is the danger of doing too little rather than too much." It was just a different type of downturn. 5/”Sean Hannity is a conservative talk show host who can be heard on the radio, on his podcasts and on his own show on Fox News. There are a couple ways that you can try and get in contact with him, if you so desire.Despite the tremendous amount of planning that goes into the Super Bowl, things don’t always go as expected. Not to mention, with folks taking to Twitter and TikTok these days, anything is apt to go viral — for better or worse — on the nigh...From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll. Practice here first or read more on our help page! More from @SeanTrende. Sean T at RCP ...On April 25, 2022, Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, struck a tentative deal, purchasing Twitter for $44 billion. While he isn’t the first billionaire to step into a media-adjacent space, the move leaves users and members of the general p...“Put differently, if you had placed Kennedy on the 1968 Warren Court, he would have appeared to be a freakishly right-of-center justice. For that matter, Souter probably would have voted with Harlan, who held down the right flank of that Court. 6/”Oct 22, 2022 · “I think these analyses provide useful context on where this election stands. The biggest limitation on these analyses isn't that the GOP holds a large number of seats to begin. It is that they describe linear relationships between seat gain which probably don't hold this cycle.” In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @ Protected Tweets @“We're reaching the end of the second quarter, which is when election outcomes are more-or-less baked in. At this point, you really have to have Republicans as overwhelming favorites to take the House with solid margins, and strong favorites to take the Senate.”“I think a lot of problems with Rhaenys Targaryen not incinerating the Greens comes from the weird gender politics the show has embraced. One of the interesting thing about GOT was it wasn't afraid to make the female characters as crazy and murderous as the men. 1/”“So many other low points, like horses on Star Destroyers, or Chewie fake dying, or C3P0 fake losing his memory, or the weird Kimiji storyline, or a Palpatine appropriating the Skywalker name. But here's the thing, most of the problems were not of Ep. IX's making. 7/”Sean T at RCP on Twitter ... Log in13 Şub 2013 ... ... T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act to clarify that houses of worship are eligible for certain disaster relief and ...Jun 6, 2021 · “Don't get me wrong, your best bet with pols is often to be cynical. But the options here seem to be some combination of Manchin is (a) sincere-ish, (b) thinks he's going to win re-election in 2024, (c) feels a duty not to represent his R+23 state as if it were Vermont.” In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersIn this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“Aside from the expense, this is a significant risk to human life in a disproportionately elderly body that already has some known cases. If he does this, the House should expel him (and anyone else who goes along with him).”Sean T at RCP on Twitter: "For people under 16 this is less deadly than the flu. Not even on my radar of considerations. And as I said, in a few weeks if you haven't …“@sahilkapur @RobGeorge @EsotericCD On 2), I never understood the white hot, burning hatred of Buttigieg among younger progressives. But it is very much there.”Jun 5, 2021 · In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users “Any of the remaining three presents a strong case, to my mind. I don't think it's AotC though. OK, fine, "I don't like sand" is arguably the worst or second worst line in all Star Wars history. But if you pull the Padme/Anakin romance and ninja Yoda stuff, it isn't terrible. 2/”“And we're probably just interested in that statement for the actual fact that Trump tried to commandeer the Secret Service vehicle. Now there are about a billion exceptions to the hearsay rule. 6/”“Anyway, this might be a one-off thing. I hope it's a one off thing, and not another example of liberalism, having become ascendant in American politics, abandoning some of the principles that enabled it to begin its ascent out of fear that something else might replace it. 6/”“Look, it sounds like the debate is an utter disaster for him. But few will watch it, and it's a hard thing to go on the attack about without inspiring a backlash. This hurts Fetterman, but I don't think things have shifted all that dramatically.”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersOct 19, 2022 · “I think a lot of problems with Rhaenys Targaryen not incinerating the Greens comes from the weird gender politics the show has embraced. One of the interesting thing about GOT was it wasn't afraid to make the female characters as crazy and murderous as the men. 1/” Jun 1, 2022 · “So many other low points, like horses on Star Destroyers, or Chewie fake dying, or C3P0 fake losing his memory, or the weird Kimiji storyline, or a Palpatine appropriating the Skywalker name. But here's the thing, most of the problems were not of Ep. IX's making. 7/” Sean T at RCP is a free elf. @SeanTrende. This is sort of how I felt seeing some of the shifts in Appalachia in 2010, or blue collar areas in 2016. Except this I …Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. Replying to . ... Paging . @ron_fournier. #isgreenlanternreal? 7:40 PM · Mar 25, 2014 · Twitter for iPhone. 1. Like. Sean T at RCP is a free elf“Aside from the expense, this is a significant risk to human life in a disproportionately elderly body that already has some known cases. If he does this, the House should expel him (and anyone else who goes along with him).”“Anyway,that's why VIII is the worst main storyline film. It destroys too much of the main storyline to leave any hope of wrapping things up in the final film. In fact, if I learned that Johnson was intentionally sabotaging the series, it would make more sense than what came out.”“McAuliffe starting to get some more results above the line. Also, moving the threshold up to 85% reporting. City of Richmond hasn't started to come in yet, and Fairfax is still largely outstanding. This is still very interesting.”1 Tem 2023 ... Future Healthc J: Vol. 10, Issue 2 (July 2023) · EDITORIAL · MENTAL HEALTH SPECIAL · ORIGINAL RESEARCH · REVIEW · CASE STUDY · SHORT QI REPORT.Jun 1, 2022 · “OK, let's settle this: Worst Star Wars main storyline movie. I'll give my take at the end, but I do think a case can be made for any of these.” In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersMar 1, 2016 · Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart. Sean Trende is the Senior Elections Analyst for RealClearPolitics. He is the author of "The Lost Majority: Why the Future of Government Is Up for Grabs and Who Will Take It," and co-authored the ...Since Twitter seems reasonably likely to go away in the next couple of years, my 2c: Obvs the site is miserable, but there's an entire generation of top-notch young analysts like @JMilesColeman who probably would have gone unnoticed but for Twitter. 1/ 31 Oct 2022 01:42:44 Log in. Sign upIn this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersSean T at RCP. Follow @SeanTrende. Nov 8 • 8 tweets • 2 min read Bookmark . Save as PDF . My Authors My basic view of this election hasn’t changed over the cycle; it’s the same frame I carry into every election: they are referenda on the party in power, not choices. 1/Sean T at RCP on Twitter ... Log inSean Hannity frequently interviews politicians, candidates, pundits and controversial figures. Specific guests who appear frequently on his show include Senator John McCain, former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani and former Massachuset...“The story that makes the most sense re the leak is actually Chief Justice Roberts, trying to illustrate to a swing justice what the backlash would be like. But it is also completely out of character for Roberts; burn the village …In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“@kkondik Yeah, the shift in the non-urban, non -Deep South over the past 20 years is probably the most consequential — and least well understood — shifts of our lifetime.”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @ Protected Tweets @“This remains the key chart for how big GOP House gains will be: Biden vote share by the number of districts with that vote share. At R+3 or so nationally, the GOP starts to climb the levy that Democrats built with Biden +10 (or so) districts. 1/”Jun 7, 2021 · “@billscher @ThePlumLineGS I still think the biggest threats to Ds in a non-filibuster universe are things that can get to the core of their power infrastructure: national right to work, school vouchers, limits on public sector unions, tort reform, etc.” “That leaves Kav and Alito. Alito has authored 4 opinions this term, Kavanaugh 5. Realistically it could be either of them. But there's a theory that Alito's lengthy dissent in Fulton was originally a majority opinion. If this is true, both would have had 5 opinions as of Feb.”“There are obviously answers to all of this -- if there weren't I would not have led with him losing four of five times or so. The point is, though, that he's not THAT far off where he needs to be to be back in this. 9/9”“@KevinMKruse It's possible, but he'd have to be pretty sure the leak would flip a vote, or think that it would blunt the impact of the decision in June by spreading out the news cycle (the latter is more plausible imo).”Tweets to Sean T at RCP. Twitter handle: @seantrende. Name: Sean T at RCP. Location: Followers: 46728. Bio: Sr. Elections Analyst at RCP. Co-Author, Almanac …“@jbview @yeselson I guess I feel like a representative doesn't lose by 35 points without seriously deviating from constituents' impressions of what they're about. But I think it's an interesting way of looking at it, and maybe her earlier campaigns don't conform to my expectations.”Sep 1, 2021 · “One problem Biden has is that he doesn't have much "crawl-over-broken-glass-twice-to-vote-for-him" type support. That inoculated Obama and Trump from a total wipeout. He really could completely collapse.” . Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende , dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart. Sean T at RCP is a free elf 2020/03/19/coronavirus-effect-economy-life-society-analysis-covid-135579 “Put differently, if you had placed Kennedy on the 1968 Warren Court, he would have appeared to be a freakishly right-of-center justice. For that matter, Souter probably would have voted with Harlan, who held down the right flank of that Court. 6/”Denver Broncos head coach Sean Payton talks during a news conference following a win over the Green Bay Packers in an NFL football game Oct. 23, 2023, in Denver.“COVID, at least post-March '20, was just a different sort of shock to the system. Probably required a different sort of response, especially once it was apparent that we were bouncing back from the shock quickly.”Where there isn't a central constitutional argument, it isn't surprising that these justices might look askance at modifying Gingles. 2/ May 16 • 10 tweets • 3 min read“And there's a debate about this. As I said, I sort of defend a 0.05 cutoff because standards are good, and it keeps people from offering up p-values of .33 or whatever and labeling that "knowledge" when you'd see …“The people hunting “deplorables” ARE THE BAD GUYS. Seriously, it’s about an uprising a, “OK, let's settle this: Worst Star Wars main storyline movie. I'll give, In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users, In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested u, 01 Nov 2022 23:09:39, In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users, In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users, “The story that makes the most sense re the leak is actu, May 27, 2022 · “If you don't want to know about the horse , Sean T at RCP on Twitter ... Log in, 01 Nov 2022 23:09:39 , In this conversation. Verified account Protected Twee, Log in. Sign up, Sean T at RCP. Follow @SeanTrende. Nov 8 • 8 tweets • 2, “I think a lot of problems with Rhaenys Targaryen not incin, Log in. Sign up , Erick is a Research Hydrologist at the USGS Geology, Minerals, E, In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Sugge.